News

The latest happenings in the Melbourne property market. For our Essays and The Secret Agent Report, see our Research page.


Category Archives For: Numbers and Stats

Trump Makes Bond Yields Great Again

A look at the bond market reveals a very large jump in bond yields the day after Trump was elected.

What a year it has turned out to be. From the mild (Western Bulldogs Premiership) to the momentous (Brexit and Trump presidency), 2016 has seen it all. Before discussing more recent events, let’s take a look at how bond yields have been performing since our last update in September. Read the full post


Warehouse Apartments in Melbourne: What They Cost

Infographic showing the average price per square metre of 2 bedroom warehouse apartments

Who knew that the walls of former breweries, factories and mills would become one of the most irresistible apartment styles to own and occupy in inner Melbourne.

Warehouse apartments are unique in that they successfully and seamlessly merge historic and trendy. Characterised by their exposed brick walls, steel trusses, sleek interiors and impossibly high ceilings, warehouse style apartments are limited in supply, further adding to their appeal.

In this bulletin, Secret Agent examines inner Melbourne’s warehouse apartment market. Read the full post


What Melbourne’s Apartments Will Cost You

In this update, we present a more thorough look into the price per square metre rates of apartments by suburb, further categorising sales according to the number of bedrooms. These results are shown in Table 1.

The overall average price per square metre rate for apartments in inner Melbourne is $8,687/sqm. 

Overall, the three most expensive suburbs to purchase an apartment  are Albert Park ($13,276/sqm), East Melbourne ($11,914/sqm) and Middle Park ($10,720/sqm). These areas have consistently topped our index.

The least expensive apartments per square metre can be found in Travancore ($6,563/sqm), Kensington ($6,869/sqm) and Flemington ($7,079/sqm).

A few things can be observed when considering apartments with a larger accommodation. In some suburbs, the increase in number of bedrooms also leads to an increase in price per square metre, as seen in the CBD region, Carlton, Collingwood, Clifton Hill and South Yarra.

We can see that most of the inner North and inner West suburbs tend to have decreasing price per square metre rates as apartments grow in accommodation size. However, note that some of the data may be inaccurate due to the small number of sales available for that particular apartment type.

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Click to view table in fullscreen mode.


Melbourne, Docklands and Southbank: Capital Growth of Apartments

Secret Agent’s apartment capital growth index tracks price changes of the same apartments over time. Rather than simply using average price changes, basing the index on resales gives a better measure of true capital growth. The index tracks how apartment prices change when buying off the plan, as well as all subsequent sales of the property. This bulletin takes a closer look at apartments in Melbourne CBD, Docklands and Southbank. Note that when talking about annualised growth rate, we are referring to converting the growth rate over one quarter to an annual figure.

Since 2009, CBD and Southbank apartments have been growing in value at about the same rate, with the CBD slightly ahead for all but the first quarter of 2016 (Figure 1). Since the end of 2011, CBD apartments have grown in value by an annual average of 2.83%. while Southbank apartments by 2.60%. Over the whole time period, Docklands growth was well below the other two suburbs, averaging 1.40% over the past five years.

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The Secret Agent Report – Apartments: Capital Growth

We have just released our latest Secret Agent report!

Earlier this year, Secret Agent set about determining the true capital growth of houses and townhouses in inner Melbourne to provide investors with more accurate figures on previous growth in the local property market.

In this report, apartments get their turn as we analyse the growth in prices over the past 16 years. An updated index for the capital growth of houses and townhouses is also included.

Access the Apartments Capital Growth report now!

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New apartments: What to expect

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[Click to view image in full size]

Key findings

  • 1 bedroom apartments will be 8% bigger on average.

  • 2 bedroom apartments remain the same size.

  • 3 bedroom apartments will be 4% smaller and remain rare.

  • Little to no 4 bedroom apartments are being proposed.

  • Most apartments meet the minimum balcony size.

Following up on our recent Supply report, Secret Agent wanted to dig deeper into what sort of apartment buildings are being proposed by developers. Using planning permit applications sent to local Melbourne councils, we sampled 1,680 proposed apartments from 34 buildings in 15 suburbs of metropolitan Melbourne.

Read the full post


The Secret Agent Report – Melbourne’s Supply of New Developments

We have just released our latest Secret Agent report!

Demand is a hot topic in the apartment market at the moment, and assumptions about what buyers want are being made by almost everyone with the right to an opinion. Predicting future demand for a property is one way for investors to estimate the future capital growth of an asset. However, too little attention is paid to the supply side of the equation.

In this report, Secret Agent will move the focus from demand to supply, and forecast Melbourne’s upcoming stock of new developments.

Access the Supply report now!

You can also explore our interactive map of Melbourne’s supply of new apartment and townhouse developments here:

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Inner Melbourne’s Smallest and Largest Apartments

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Inner Melbourne’s apartments are getting tinier with each new development. But, how small is small? Secret Agent’s updated apartment index reveals that the average size of a 1 bedroom apartment is only 47sqm, and for the more popular 2 bedroom apartment the average size is 73sqm.

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Inner Melbourne’s Most Affordable and Expensive Apartments

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Secret Agent has updated its price per square metre index for secondary apartments in inner Melbourne. An additional 478 apartments have been added to the index so that it now consists of a total of 870 apartments which have sold between 1st January 2016 to 30th June 2016. The new average square metre rate for apartments in inner Melbourne is $8,679/sqm.

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